Orange alert for Chennai

The Meterological department has announced an Orange alert for the city of Chennai as well as a few other districts on 14-15 October 2024. 

I wanted to pen down a few thoughts towards preparedness ahead of rains. 

To consumers;

Stock up provisions, especially fruits, vegetables, dairy and consumables ahead of rains. If you’re an offline shopper, then Sunday evening is probably put to good use. 

If you are a staunch supporter of quick commerce platforms like Blinkit, Zepto and the likes, then you have an additional day that is Monday.

Stock up, please, for no more than 2 days as we expect heavy rains only on Tuesday and a bit of Wednesday. Given that there would certainly be waterlogged roads around us, do add for uncertainty on Thursday. 

By stocking just adequately as required, we also leave behind some inventory for others around us. 

Fuel up your vehicles, in case of an emergency. IF you stay in an apartment complex or have GenSets, then fill up diesel enough for 3 days, as there could be power shutdown due to water logging. 

Avoid ordering food on Tuesday/ Wednesday during and after the rains stop. Don’t worry about the sake of F&B outlets and delivery persons, they will manage their lives. 

Avoid putting the lives of delivery persons at risk during and after rains stop - after all they wade through the artificial lakes around us to deliver food. 

Even if you do order food and they arrive late, avoid scuffles and arguments with them. They have risked their lives after all - just so you enjoy your steamed idlis, bucket biriyanis, penne and pasta. 

If you are large hearted like many, then please offer them a tip - be it cash, clothes (for changing), an old windcheater or boots / slippers. Ensure they are not torn and in a usable condition. 

To retailers - 

Even as we celebrate 12/12 every year as Retail Employees Day, cut cake, take videos and share on social media for publicity, please do show it in spirit by letting staff take it easy on Tuesday and Wednesday (and whenever it rains heavily). 

Though there could be limited water logging near the store they work at, rest assured that hardly a few customers would wade through for retail therapy. 

Yes, it’s the festival season and we want to make the most of every working day. 

However, what’s the point in getting a store full of staff without customers! 

The Greater Chennai Corporation has “announced” a slew of measures to tackle heavy rains and water logging, though the results will be evident in just 4-5 days from now. 

Here’s wishing a safe week ahead to one and all and a happy shopping period ahead. 

Convenience over Experience or Vice versa?

At last count, the quick commerce players such as Blinkit by Zomato, Zepto and Big Basket are said to have delivered over 1,000 units of the newly launched iPhone 16 series. In contrast, a single Apple Authorised Reseller (AAR) store – the exclusive Apple franchises across India sold over 150 units a day on 20 Sep. 2024 when the iPhone 16 was launched.

The staff at one of the stores told me Sat. 21 Sep. that the sales was bit dull being the second day while he was confident of selling over 200 pieces on Sunday, as he expects a lot more customers to drop by at the store. There are an estimated 3,000+ AAR in India, though all are not equal in footfalls and revenues. 

During my 40-min hang out at the store, there were at least 30+ Apple aficionados at the store (along with yours’ truly!). I spotted a few kids in their early teens with their parents exploring the new launch of iPhone, Apple Watch among the iPad and iMac. 

Two elderly couples, possibly in their 60s came to have a curious look at the range of Apple products. They seem to have come with an intention to buy, I could make out. 

 

The typical fanboys and fangirls were engaged in a thorough dissection of the various features of the device even as the store staff struggled to answer many of their tech queries.

 

There is a charm in offline retail, after all, I reckoned.

Last week, Hari Menon, Founder & CEO of Big Basket, which was launched in 2012 and sold off to the TATA Group in 2021 said at an event that local shops (read Kiranas) were not under the threat of Q-Commerce. 

Incidentally, Big Basket launched its quick commerce service with the iPhone 16 – an order places at 0800 hrs was delivered at 0807 hrs on 20 Sep.

 

Despite the convenience of doorstep delivery of groceries and household items, pet food, fresh food and everything in between over the last few months, electronic items too, why do people still step out of their homes and shop at offline stores – to buy the iconic Apple devices or Apple, the fruit?

As the adage goes, humans are social animals and need company. They need to simply step out of their physical bondages (read: comfort zone) to get a peak at what’s happening around them and around the world.

 

Take the film industry’s conundrum, for example. When the OTT model of watching and consuming entertainment took shape during and after the Covid-19 lockdown in 2020, visitation to cinema theatres was declared a no-hope zone. Yet, movies are raking in crores of box office collections – the only catch, audience want crisp scripts and not just stellar star cast.

Even though foodtech players like Swiggy and Zomato are minting in billions of dollars annually, offline visits to restaurants has not dwindled. 

For most restaurants, their delivery channel through foodtech is between 15-20%, and consumers continue to visit their premises just like before 2020.

 

Quick Commerce brings in tremendous convenience for consumers while E-Commerce offers a massive range to shoppers, as they can sift through thousands of products before they buy. 

However, what amount of dent it would create to offline and neighbourhood shops is yet to be seen. “Picture abhi baaki hai mere dost”, as Shah Rukh Khan would say with a grin.

AI in RetAil

I had the good fortune to speak early September at one of India’s most prestigious educational institutions, Coimbatore Institute of Technology, which has been a breeding ground for several top technocrats this country has produced. 

Among various notable such people include the current Chairman of the eponymous TATA Group, Mr. N. Chandrasekaran. 

I was invited to speak at RISE 2024, the in-house conclave of the college, where I addressed over 300+ students and faculty members for over 90 mins. 

 

That I succeeded yet again, keeping the audience awake right after the lunch break, has been a sort of a successful streak to me as a speaker across various conclaves, conferences and events worldwide since 2006. 

Perhaps, it was the intriguing subject that I chose this time around, to keep the listeners not just awake, rather get excited about the possibilities that Artificial Intelligence brings to Retail. 

Way back in the 90s, my first brush with retail was shopping at the ration shop in our locality every month, where I would be assigned by my parents, the task of bringing rice, sugar and kerosene, among other things. 

Why kerosene – we would use them to boil water for bath using a pumping stove! 

Later on, I witnessed firsthand the early days of organised retail in India, with the mushrooming of concepts such as Lifestyle and Shoppers Stop in fashion and the likes Subhiksha, Stop and Shop, Nilgiris and RPG Retail’s Foodworld in grocery retail. 

 

When I joined the erstwhile Madras’ first Baskin Robbins ice-cream parlour as a part time employee in 1997, I witnessed and used the billing machine for the first time, which kept a track of the day’s sales.

From there to now, the use of technology in Retail has not just stunned me, rather has kept me guessing on what’s coming next. 

  

I have been using Apps such as Amazon, Zepto, Swiggy for e-commerce, household and grocery shopping and for ordering food respectively for over a decade now. The amount of machine learning and artificial intelligence used by these companies, especially the likes of Amazon, is very interesting. 

Offline retailers in India have been laggards to embrace artificial intelligence, primarily due to heavy investments that go in to building such modules. However, the choice for them is limited. The writing on the wall is clear - start building AI into your business planning NOW or perish. 

 

One could argue that even a rudimentary ERP is in nascent stages in Indian retail, let alone AI in Retail. However, the choices we have on hand are extremely limited. 

One of the key reasons for loss of sales is not having the right merchandise at stores, and not lack of footfalls. 

Embracing AI / ML is a must for offline retailers, which was the essence of my presentation at the institution. Will share the link of my lecture here, soon. 

Much ado about quick deliveries

Among the most happening news last week was the latest fund raising of Zepto, a Quick Commerce company. In all, the company has raised over USD 1 Bn (INR 8,200 Cr) in 12 months and is currently valued at USD 5 Bn (INR 60,000 Crores). And what business is Zepto in – as we all know, a term popularly addressed as “Quick Commerce”, a richer offspring of e-commerce. 

If e-commerce companies deliver goods in 1-3 days, Q-commerce companies deliver in 15 mins or less. This is a kind of invention of a product (or service) that no one really wanted. 

When e-commerce in India started getting bigger around 2012 – 2016, delivery in 3 days was a “wow moment” for customers. And then came Amazon’s Prime subscription with which 1-day delivery was made possible. From 2018-2022, one-day delivery was almost the norm, be it Amazon or Flipkart or Myntra or Ajio or any other. 

Circa 1996. That was when I was first exposed to modern retailing. My mother asked me to visit a particular shop where the sugar was cheaper than at the neighbourhood ration shop where we would usually would buy dal, pulses, kerosene and sugar, of course. 

The name of the shop was Subhiksha. It wasn’t just a new shop, rather a new concept. Where one could stand across the counter, look at various products and ask for them to be shown and then decide if one wanted to buy or not. 

Quickly, Subhiksha moved in to one of India’s first ever self-service models of grocery retailing, where one could walk around the store, browse and buy. Add to it, there were several offers and promotions offered by brands.

Cut to Sep. 2024. 

Shoppers browse the apps of Zepto, Blinkit (by Zomato) or Instamart (by Swiggy) alike and then order stuff (that they mostly don’t need, atleast immediately) and those which could be delivered in just a few mins. 

Thousands of users have shared their dissatisfaction that their orders didn’t reach on time as promised – 10 mins or less. I wonder, when did consumers, let alone humans become so busy, that a wait of 10 mins for grocery (or 30 mins for pizzas) is considered eternal? And the FoMo of missing out on ephemeral offers! Phew. 

Back in the day when Dominos would advertise that their pizzas would be delivered in 30 mins or consider it for free, many customers prayed that their deliveries be delayed, so their pizzas would come free. This is just the bane of humankind.

The only characteristic that differentiates humans vs animals is that of greed. The love for greed that consumers carry is incomparable to any other living beings. Even the wildest of animals will hunt their prey only when they are hungry. And this greed (for offers, discounts and promotions) is what keeps us retailers going. 

However, humans (as consumers) in several occasions buy things which they never needed in the first place. And at times when their shopping was inconsequential. 

Take End of Season Sales (EoSS) for example.

Shoppers wait for the occasion and throng branded shops at malls and high streets to buy apparel, shoes, accessories, home improvement items and what not. And then struggle to find use of these products, which end up rotting in wardrobes unused. 

Similar is the Q-commerce conundrum. 

All of a sudden, men, women and children in metro cities yearn for pantry and grocery items to be delivered before half a litre of milk comes to a boil. As if we are headed towards a catastrophe or an Armageddon moment. 

What started off during the Covid-19 lockdown – such as the fear of avoiding shops due to crowds, has now become a staple at several thousand household across India. Scarcity (of time)has never been more celebrated ever! 

Lessons from the sacking of a CEO

The week that passed by was abuzz with the news of the sacking (or so it was announced in the media) of Laxman Narasimhan, who was handpicked for the job by the former Chairman of the Board and Founder of Starbucks Coffee, Howard Schultz.

Laxman has been on the job for a less than 2 years, after he took over full time in Mar. ’23, followed by a 6-month’s immersion period of going through rigorous training across cafés in the US, Mexico, Japan and China, to understand the processes undertaken in the chain that runs over 33,000 outlets worldwide, almost 30% of them operating in the United States.

With not just one but several challenges to face, the ousted CEO was doing good, at least as it looked like supported by corporate PR. 

The Indian-origin professional had earlier worked at McKinsey & Co where he served for 19 years, followed by stints with FMCG powerhouses such as Pepsi and Reckitt, before joining Starbucks in Oct. ‘22. He went on a global tour to acclimatise himself with the way coffee (and other local beverages) are consumed. 

His pitstop in India was in early 2024, when he announced that TATA Starbucks, the JV company would operate over 1,000 cafés in India (from over 400 currently) by 2028.

On social media portals, especially on the professional platform Linkedin, Laxman was a popular figure, doling out various snippets of how his life revolved in the new role.

There were several issues the ousted CEO was working on – labour challenges being the most important one. Over 400 cafés in the US alone have been unionised. The Gen Z and Millennials were not preferring in-café dining as much. 

Digital-first customers as they are termed, ordering online and preferring takeaways were trends being witnessed over all in the Quick Service Restaurant Industry worldwide, especially in the US. The inconsistency of service experience, especially that of its mainstay, the hot coffee was being questioned by ardent consumers of the Starbucks, who have patronised the chain for several decades. 

In a recent video interview to Fortune magazine, when asked about "how does work-life balance look like for a Fortune 500 CEO", Laxman had said, “If there’s anything after 6pm, and I am in town, It’s got to be a pretty high bar to keep me away from the family”.

“Anybody who gets a minute of time after that, they better be sure that it’s important. Because if not, I’ll just wait for another day.”

The role of the CEO is something that every young management trainee, a first time job seeker, looks up to in their lifetime. No matter how small the company, the title of “CEO” is a mission accomplished for several millions worldwide. While many may say they do not chase titles, they do, they certainly do.

The life at the top and in the corner room is complicated, I must admit. 

I have seen in close quarters, the lives of atleast 4 such Executives in my own personal life. They need to look in to various issues pertaining to life – personal, professional, a public life that is useful for business networking and so on.

Yet, the life of an Executive at the top is a lonely journey at best. There are so many things that the Chief Executive cannot speak in public or can confide to anyone, not even with their spouse or close friends. 

There are diktats from the Board or the Management. And then, there are these smallest of things that impacts their popularity among those working for the company. 

As exciting it looks to be, it is one thing to get in to the chief executive socks. 

And to get beaten up by life every other day, yet putting up a brave smile and to keep moving on as though nothing much happened (nerves of steel) – and eventually, a sad, sudden exit such as being sacked (as the media announces), is the least one yearns for!

People, passion and processes

In a recent post on the social media platform X (formerly Twitter), a user from Bangalore posted her recent experience of being a female delivery partner for a day. She chose to work in the “gig economy” at one of India’s top 3 Q-commerce delivery apps, Blinkit.

She narrated the learnings of her day at this part time role in a long thread which gained a lot of attention from many users, including from Blinkit Founder Albinder Dhindsa.

She conceded why she did this trial, that it was just out of curiosity how Blinkit (and other Q-Commerce companies) could deliver orders within just 10 mins.

She highlighted abysmal working conditions at the dark store - a mini warehouse with just a fan, from where delivery partners pick up the stuff, technical flaws, and a few potential improvements in commercial queries such as insurance payouts, how to earn payments, etc.

I initially felt that this was a great PR exercise led by the brand in a surrogate manner for hiring new staff, however when I saw that she had mentioned poor working conditions, I realised that wasn’t the case. The user, who goes by the name Sneha had mentioned that the working conditions were quite poor, without a proper seating place or access to drinking water for the delivery staff.

She also narrated her ordeals getting stuck in the notorious traffic that the Garden city is known for or having to ride through narrow roads and that she apologised to customers for her delayed deliveries.

Sajal Gupta, CTO of Blinkit replied to her a day later that a few enhancements were done in the app, as well as improved working conditions at the dark stores such as putting up seating.

I was curious to note why would a young lady wish to go-the mile to understand a delivery process. When I looked up on Linkedin, I learned that her company is a SaaS platform in warehouse management operations. 

Hopstack, Austin, Texas based company has offices in the US as well as in Bangalore, serving over 25 clients with over 12 mn orders. The company’s key goals include precision in fulfilment coupled with realtime insights and seamless integration.

Now, why I am writing about this episode?

Because I would like to stand up and salute the passion that Ms. Sneha carried in her work. 

While it was her inquisitiveness on how delivery partners operate in a market like India, it was also a very fulfilling exercise to the lady on the professional front, as she could learn first hand what are the pain points that Q-commerce giants in India are currently facing and the associated pangs at the warehouse / dark stores.

Though there are just three top (surviving) players today in the Q-commerce market, such as Swiggy’s Instamart, Zomato’s Blinkit and Zepto, all serving around USD 1 Bn worth of deliveries annually, the space is hotting up with several others pivoting in this format. 

Flipkart has recently launched “Minutes” service, and market is abuzz that Ola (Cabs) is coming back to the delivery business.

Nothing better than to learn first hand at the job role. This professional took that effort, much to the chagrin of her mother as she narrated in another tweet.

Over the years, I have seen so many disinterested staff members who do not move from their coveted seats at workplace and wish to see the world from the little lenses of their eyes. 

First hand knowledge – and it is different across industries – is so vital for professional growth.

Ask any CEO who is leading a large FMCG company today anywhere in the world and these women and gentlemen would have walked the streets, travelled in despatch vehicles and stood beside the shopkeepers to understand how people shop during their formative years.

In my own experience when I used to work for Foodworld Supermarkets around the turn of the millennium, I would stand and observe how home makers, housewives kids and men would shop at India’s first organised grocery retail chain. This was my daily routine from 6pm – 9pm.

When I set-up and ran India’s first airport retail business at Bangalore International Airport in 2008, it was a delight to watch how air passengers would shop, across various categories. There are nights when I have turned up around midnight to witness the shopping patterns of international passengers who were departing from, or arriving in to India.  

However, I have also had the misfortune of working with several co-workers ranging from those with 20+ years’ experience, all the way to freshers and new comers, who prefer the digital route for learning ground realities. 

The result, is that many of them end up suggesting incorrect decisions to the Management, which lead to their, as well as the company’s downfall. 

Ms. Sneha, took the plunge to experiment a gig job, largely known to be a male bastion, all for the love of learning more about the industry she works for. Kudos to her again, her passion and perseverance for taking this initiative.